It's taken me some time to really put my thoughts together on this.
The iPhone is very cool and very next generation. The buzz from this is going to last for five months, the anticipation is going to be huge.
As usual, Apple has thought this out really well. If you really want one, consider the following....
Apple is going to milk the publicity on this one as long as they can. This is going to see the newly christened Apple Inc. through $100 a share and a stock split. Meanwhile OS X and some new Macs will be announced. All thorough those innovations people will be waiting for the glorious day that the phone is released.
You will get your early adopters. Digg and other sites will be full of complaints about scratches, finger "smearing" (dude take a shower) and cracked screens. Most of all, I think that they will complain about the Cingular/ATT service (or lack of it in my case).
The summer will float by as the "year of the genius phone". People will see them everywhere because the early adopters aren't going to be shy while using them. Heading into the '07 Christmas shopping season, people are going to get frustrated. All summer that have seen these TWITS (pun INTENDED) with these phones and they can't have one (because of price or cell provider contract). In desperation (by that time every major film company will have content on iTunes) they will by an iPod so they at least have something similar.
That is the time that I think Apple has planned to strike. The early adopters money and bug fixes will allow Apple to roll out a new high capacity iPod that uses the same technology as the iPhone. The stores will be flooded with people that have a pent up lust for this device.
Think of it as a pyramid. The iPhone will the be ultimate device at the top. The new touch screen iPod will be the middle, and the flash nanos and shuffles will make the base.
This is the direction that I think Apple is pushing us. The iPhone is revolutionary, but the need for a similar, lower cost device, will be the ultimate killer device for 2007. We know that the tech will trickle down through the various products that Apple puts out for at least a few years.
Unless the FCC doesn't approve the iPhone. That would kill the company.
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4 comments:
I just wonder how long the battery life will be on the phone. Cell phones can really suck the juice....add I-tune capabilities and I wonder how much time you can actually listen to music versus sitting next to a wall plug to keep the darn thing charged.
Thanks for the comment. Battery life was rated at about 5 hours for video....not really going to work for a long trip followed by trip-related phone use.
Otherwise, I don't know if there will be an extra battery. They have a number of months to up the battery as well. I think that I'll stick with holding out for my touchscreen ipod.
If the battery life is just 5 hours then what is the point of using this phone. People look for longer battery life with many features. The trade off here is so heavy. I doubt this product will do anything.
I think that's battery life for video. The normal iPod + Video does about that. I think the cell will go for a day or so (about the length of my blackberry). Since it runs a stripped down OSX, the power saving features might actually help it run a bit longer.
It's a first gen product. I wouldn't go out and buy it.
If Cingular had guts, they would offer to pay everyone's termination fees with other carriers. Every geek in America would have an iPhone.
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